New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-02-20 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 6 - 2 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 45.2%

NJD: 54.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.06

NJD: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WSH at home vs NJD: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	11	1	1.06
1	NJD	17	3	1.55
2	WSH	10	0	0.28
2	NJD	22	2	1.69
3	WSH	18	3	2.75
3	NJD	17	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 6 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3