Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-02-21 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CHI: 34.9%

PHI: 65.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.93

PHI: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	PHI 5 - 1 CHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-23	CHI 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-03-23	CHI 7 - 4 PHI	CHI	PHI
2024-11-23	PHI 3 - 2 CHI	PHI	PHI
2024-03-30	PHI 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	0	0.72
1	PHI	24	0	0.80
2	CHI	11	1	0.70
2	PHI	18	2	1.39
3	CHI	13	1	1.06
3	PHI	6	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3