Toronto Maple Leafs at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-02-21 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

ARI: 49.2%

TOR: 50.8%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.29

TOR: 3.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • ARI at home vs TOR: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-29	TOR 4 - 2 ARI	TOR	TOR
2024-02-21	ARI 3 - 6 TOR	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ARI	12	0.47
1	TOR	21	2.40
2	ARI	20	1.41
2	TOR	20	1.21
3	ARI	13	0.60
3	TOR	10	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 4.0