Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-02-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 6 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 71.1%

BOS: 28.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.98

BOS: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	EDM 2 - 6 BOS	BOS	EDM
2025-12-18	BOS 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	BOS
2025-01-07	BOS 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-19	EDM 3 - 2 BOS	EDM	EDM
2024-03-05	BOS 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	0	0.93
1	BOS	23	3	1.96
2	EDM	20	1	1.60
2	BOS	12	1	1.21
3	EDM	25	1	2.03
3	BOS	14	0	0.56
4	EDM	5	0	0.42
4	BOS	4	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 6 Boston Bruins

Expected: 4.0 - 2.6