Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-02-22 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 40.0%

COL: 60.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.56

COL: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	0	0.66
1	COL	13	0	0.89
2	DET	18	2	1.37
2	COL	17	1	1.12
3	DET	16	1	1.41
3	COL	15	0	1.04
4	DET	3	0	0.45
4	COL	2	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.1