New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-02-22 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 49.2%

NYI: 50.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.27

NYI: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	STL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-11-22	NYI 1 - 2 STL	STL	NYI
2024-11-23	NYI 3 - 1 STL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-17	STL 1 - 0 NYI	STL	STL
2024-03-05	NYI 4 - 2 STL	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	0	0.49
1	NYI	10	1	0.87
2	STL	10	0	0.70
2	NYI	22	1	1.45
3	STL	11	2	1.10
3	NYI	17	0	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0