Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-02-22 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CGY: 63.0%

BOS: 37.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.13

BOS: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	BOS 4 - 1 CGY	BOS	BOS
2025-12-29	CGY 2 - 1 BOS	CGY	CGY
2024-12-17	CGY 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CGY
2024-11-07	BOS 4 - 3 CGY	BOS	BOS
2024-02-22	CGY 3 - 2 BOS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	22	1	1.78
1	BOS	13	1	0.85
2	CGY	8	0	0.61
2	BOS	15	1	1.21
3	CGY	16	0	0.74
3	BOS	14	0	1.16
4	CGY	4	0	0.25
4	BOS	4	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1