Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-02-23 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (74% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 73.5%

MIN: 26.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.25

MIN: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	11	1	0.73
1	MIN	14	0	0.86
2	EDM	18	0	1.20
2	MIN	16	1	1.25
3	EDM	35	1	2.84
3	MIN	10	2	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 73.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 4.3 - 2.7