New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-02-24 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 55.6%

NYR: 44.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.13

NYR: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PHI at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	23	1	1.36
1	NYR	17	0	0.72
2	PHI	11	0	0.41
2	NYR	13	1	0.92
3	PHI	29	0	1.36
3	NYR	6	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2