Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-02-24 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

FLA: 67.9%

WSH: 32.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.25

WSH: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	8	0	0.34
1	WSH	16	0	1.04
2	FLA	13	0	0.73
2	WSH	15	0	0.88
3	FLA	14	1	1.01
3	WSH	10	0	0.28
4	FLA	4	0	0.56
4	WSH	4	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.2 - 3.4