Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-02-24 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 61.4%

DAL: 38.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.99

DAL: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	1	0.59
1	DAL	9	0	0.34
2	CAR	14	0	0.76
2	DAL	9	0	0.57
3	CAR	15	0	0.60
3	DAL	4	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 4.0 - 3.0