St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-02-24 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 42.7%

STL: 57.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.16

STL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • DET at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	STL 2 - 5 DET	DET	STL
2025-10-25	DET 6 - 4 STL	DET	STL
2025-04-01	STL 2 - 1 DET	STL	STL
2024-12-23	DET 0 - 4 STL	STL	DET
2024-02-24	DET 6 - 1 STL	DET	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	0	1.40
1	STL	15	0	0.99
2	DET	17	2	1.86
2	STL	8	0	0.30
3	DET	17	0	0.96
3	STL	12	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2