Vegas Golden Knights at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-02-24 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

OTT: 57.6%

VGK: 42.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.53

VGK: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs VGK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	OTT 7 - 1 VGK	OTT	OTT
2025-11-26	VGK 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	VGK
2024-11-21	OTT 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	OTT
2024-10-25	VGK 6 - 4 OTT	VGK	OTT
2024-02-24	OTT 4 - 3 VGK	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	12	0	0.60
1	VGK	10	0	0.37
2	OTT	18	0	0.79
2	VGK	16	0	1.10
3	OTT	12	1	0.73
3	VGK	13	0	0.45
4	OTT	7	0	0.42
4	VGK	2	0	0.24
5	OTT	3	1	1.01
5	VGK	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2