Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-02-25 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

PIT: 62.2%

PHI: 37.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.55

PHI: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PIT at home vs PHI: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-29	PHI 1 - 0 PIT	PHI	PIT
2026-04-27	PIT 3 - 2 PHI	PIT	PHI
2026-04-25	PHI 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PHI
2026-04-22	PHI 5 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2026-04-20	PIT 0 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	19	0	1.20
1	PHI	11	0	0.51
2	PIT	16	0	0.98
2	PHI	13	0	0.69
3	PIT	12	1	0.89
3	PHI	14	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6