Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-02-25 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 66.0%
DET: 34.0%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.18
DET: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs DET: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | CHI 0 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-09 | DET 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | DET |
| 2025-01-10 | DET 5 - 3 CHI | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-06 | CHI 1 - 4 DET | DET | CHI |
| 2024-02-25 | CHI 2 - 3 DET | DET | CHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 17 | 3 | 1.46 |
| 1 | DET | 15 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 2 | CHI | 15 | 2 | 1.18 |
| 2 | DET | 10 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 3 | CHI | 12 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | DET | 16 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 4 | CHI | 4 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 4 | DET | 2 | 0 | 0.21 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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