New York Islanders at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-02-26 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 62.7%

NYI: 37.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.55

NYI: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs NYI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NYI 2 - 1 DAL	NYI	DAL
2025-11-18	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-02-23	NYI 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	NYI
2024-10-12	DAL 3 - 0 NYI	DAL	DAL
2024-02-26	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	0	0.69
1	NYI	15	1	0.97
2	DAL	10	3	1.47
2	NYI	20	0	1.63
3	DAL	18	0	0.85
3	NYI	6	0	0.20
4	DAL	2	1	0.38
4	NYI	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8