Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-02-27 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 55.4%

BUF: 44.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.12

BUF: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	15	0.63
1	BUF	16	0.62
2	FLA	23	1.58
2	BUF	12	0.41
3	FLA	11	0.87
3	BUF	21	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5