Arizona Coyotes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-02-27 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

MTL: 53.8%

ARI: 46.2%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.64

ARI: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • MTL at home vs ARI: 1-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-27	MTL 4 - 2 ARI	MTL	MTL
2023-11-02	ARI 3 - 2 MTL	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	0	0.79
1	ARI	16	1	1.07
2	MTL	11	0	0.68
2	ARI	22	1	1.36
3	MTL	10	3	1.40
3	ARI	17	0	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9