Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-02-27 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 55.5%
CAR: 44.5%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.84
CAR: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | MIN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | MIN 4 - 3 CAR | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-11-06 | CAR 4 - 3 MIN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-06 | MIN 2 - 1 CAR | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-04 | CAR 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | CAR |
| 2024-02-27 | MIN 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 15:26 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 19:39 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:35 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 11:02 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2