Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-02-27 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

COL: 65.2%

DAL: 34.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.05

DAL: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • COL at home vs DAL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	DAL 0 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-18	COL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	COL
2026-03-06	DAL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-11	COL 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-03	DAL 4 - 2 COL	DAL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	0	1.24
1	DAL	16	0	0.56
2	COL	10	0	0.75
2	DAL	21	1	1.29
3	COL	9	0	0.41
3	DAL	13	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5