Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-02-27 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 55.7%

PIT: 44.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.10

PIT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	VAN 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-21	PIT 5 - 1 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-11-27	PIT 5 - 4 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 PIT	VAN	VAN
2024-02-27	VAN 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	20	0	1.43
1	PIT	12	0	0.97
2	VAN	16	1	1.26
2	PIT	15	0	1.02
3	VAN	11	1	0.80
3	PIT	16	0	0.55
4	VAN	1	1	0.27
4	PIT	7	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2