New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-02-27 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 54.9%
NJD: 45.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.02
NJD: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NJD: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | SJS 5 - 2 NJD | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3 - 1 SJS | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-04 | SJS 3 - 2 NJD | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0 - 1 SJS | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-02-27 | SJS 2 - 7 NJD | NJD | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 03:29 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:06 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 13:08 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 02:41 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 05:01 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 06:57 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 07:57 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 12:33 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3