St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-02-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

EDM: 80.5%

STL: 19.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.30

STL: 1.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs STL: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	2	1.44
1	STL	15	0	0.65
2	EDM	14	0	0.80
2	STL	14	0	0.66
3	EDM	15	1	0.98
3	STL	12	0	0.65
4	EDM	3	0	0.26
4	STL	4	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.3 - 1.8