Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-02-29 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

BOS: 57.1%

VGK: 42.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.33

VGK: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BOS at home vs VGK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	BOS 4 - 3 VGK	BOS	BOS
2025-10-16	VGK 6 - 5 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-03-20	VGK 5 - 1 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-02-08	BOS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-02-29	BOS 5 - 4 VGK	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	21	1	1.42
1	VGK	11	0	0.32
2	BOS	9	0	0.38
2	VGK	25	0	1.55
3	BOS	14	1	0.80
3	VGK	16	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0