Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-02-29 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

FLA: 67.7%

MTL: 32.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.83

MTL: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	1	1.01
1	MTL	17	0	1.32
2	FLA	23	1	1.75
2	MTL	13	0	0.53
3	FLA	13	0	0.71
3	MTL	11	0	0.46
4	FLA	4	0	0.27
4	MTL	3	1	0.42
5	FLA	3	2	1.78
5	MTL	2	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9