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2025-26 Season Live

TBL vs BUF - 2024-02-29

2024-02-29 • Amalie Arena
TBL 2 - 3 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
TBL: 68.8%
BUF: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.80
BUF: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
108:12TBLGoal
110:59TBLGoal
217:18TBLGoal
311:33TBLGoal
401:42BUFGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
TBL 2 - 3 BUF
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7