Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-02-29 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DAL: 57.5%

WPG: 42.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.19

WPG: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	16	0	1.38
1	WPG	15	0	0.50
2	DAL	15	1	0.74
2	WPG	15	0	0.70
3	DAL	29	6	3.55
3	WPG	8	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9