Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-02-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 46.5%

PIT: 53.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.19

PIT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • SEA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	PIT
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	2	0.92
1	PIT	23	0	0.95
2	SEA	9	0	0.28
2	PIT	15	0	1.11
3	SEA	18	1	1.36
3	PIT	8	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2