Arizona Coyotes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-03-01 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 68.2%

ARI: 31.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.54

ARI: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs ARI: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-01	OTT 3 - 5 ARI	ARI	OTT
2023-12-19	ARI 4 - 3 OTT	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	14	0	0.51
1	ARI	22	1	1.48
2	OTT	29	0	1.96
2	ARI	9	0	0.37
3	OTT	10	0	0.84
3	ARI	15	1	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8