Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 70.7%

WPG: 29.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 5.23

WPG: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	23	0	1.18
1	WPG	14	1	1.17
2	CAR	18	2	1.05
2	WPG	17	0	0.82
3	CAR	12	2	0.81
3	WPG	13	2	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 5.2 - 2.4