Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-03-02 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 60.0%
BOS: 40.0%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.43
BOS: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | NYI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.839 | 0.948 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYI 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-11-04 | NYI 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-10-28 | BOS 5 - 2 NYI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-02-27 | BOS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | BOS |
| 2025-01-05 | BOS 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:32 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 05:27 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:19 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:46 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:24 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:30 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0