Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

PHI: 57.7%

OTT: 42.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.27

OTT: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs OTT: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	PHI 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-11-08	PHI 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-23	OTT 2 - 1 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-04-13	OTT 4 - 3 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-03-11	PHI 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	22	0	1.45
1	OTT	6	1	0.31
2	PHI	22	2	1.35
2	OTT	19	0	0.99
3	PHI	5	1	0.71
3	OTT	17	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7