San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

DAL: 78.5%

SJS: 21.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.80

SJS: 2.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DAL at home vs SJS: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	21	3	2.00
1	SJS	13	0	0.62
2	DAL	22	1	1.50
2	SJS	10	0	0.56
3	DAL	15	0	1.17
3	SJS	12	0	0.40
4	DAL	4	0	0.33
4	SJS	4	0	0.28
5	DAL	7	2	2.12
5	SJS	7	1	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.1