Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-03-02 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 47.6%

MIN: 52.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.43

MIN: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs MIN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	9	0	0.57
1	MIN	17	0	0.90
2	STL	13	1	0.75
2	MIN	9	1	0.59
3	STL	16	2	1.88
3	MIN	17	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3