Arizona Coyotes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-03-03 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 2 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 62.0%
ARI: 38.0%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.07
ARI: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | WSH | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs ARI: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-03 | WSH 2 - 5 ARI | ARI | WSH |
| 2023-12-04 | ARI 6 - 0 WSH | ARI | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:33 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:06 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:02 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:45 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:01 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:10 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:39 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 2 - 5 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8