San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-03-03 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

MIN: 69.8%

SJS: 30.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.20

SJS: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	0.96
1	SJS	5	0	0.18
2	MIN	19	0	1.30
2	SJS	9	0	0.67
3	MIN	13	0	0.46
3	SJS	12	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.0