Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-03-03 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 60.9%
PIT: 39.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.27
PIT: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | EDM | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.811 | 0.773 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | EDM 2 - 6 PIT | PIT | EDM |
| 2025-12-16 | PIT 4 - 6 EDM | EDM | PIT |
| 2025-01-09 | PIT 5 - 3 EDM | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-25 | EDM 4 - 0 PIT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-10 | PIT 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:07 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:57 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:55 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 18:47 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 19:10 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 06:03 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:23 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9