Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-03-03 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

EDM: 66.6%

PIT: 33.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.80

PIT: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	EDM 2 - 6 PIT	PIT	EDM
2025-12-16	PIT 4 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-09	PIT 5 - 3 EDM	PIT	EDM
2024-10-25	EDM 4 - 0 PIT	EDM	EDM
2024-03-10	PIT 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	2	1.54
1	PIT	11	0	0.56
2	EDM	13	1	0.79
2	PIT	10	0	0.70
3	EDM	19	2	1.23
3	PIT	16	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6