Vegas Golden Knights at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-03-04 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

CBJ: 60.3%

VGK: 39.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.02

VGK: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs VGK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	0	0.89
1	VGK	12	1	0.87
2	CBJ	17	0	0.70
2	VGK	18	1	1.13
3	CBJ	13	1	1.46
3	VGK	21	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9