Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-04 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NYR: 38.4%

FLA: 61.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.81

FLA: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.61
1	FLA	13	1	0.62
2	NYR	21	1	1.53
2	FLA	16	2	1.57
3	NYR	8	0	0.65
3	FLA	14	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6