Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-03-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 51.6%

SEA: 48.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.95

SEA: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	10	0	0.60
1	SEA	13	0	0.87
2	CGY	23	1	1.53
2	SEA	11	0	0.50
3	CGY	25	0	1.39
3	SEA	14	2	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1