Edmonton Oilers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

BOS: 42.5%

EDM: 57.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.98

EDM: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs EDM: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	EDM 2 - 6 BOS	BOS	EDM
2025-12-18	BOS 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	BOS
2025-01-07	BOS 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-19	EDM 3 - 2 BOS	EDM	EDM
2024-03-05	BOS 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.43
1	EDM	13	0	0.47
2	BOS	13	1	1.28
2	EDM	14	0	0.95
3	BOS	7	0	0.34
3	EDM	13	0	0.57
4	BOS	0	0	0.00
4	EDM	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9