Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.5%

FLA: 42.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.25

FLA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	0	0.54
1	FLA	12	0	0.59
2	NJD	16	2	1.49
2	FLA	12	0	0.44
3	NJD	12	0	0.63
3	FLA	17	3	2.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9