St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-03-05 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 61.7%
STL: 38.3%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.32
STL: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | STL 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-22 | NYI 1 - 2 STL | STL | NYI |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3 - 1 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-17 | STL 1 - 0 NYI | STL | STL |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4 - 2 STL | NYI | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYI | 18 | 1 | 0.93 |
| 1 | STL | 9 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | NYI | 23 | 2 | 1.91 |
| 2 | STL | 8 | 1 | 0.53 |
| 3 | NYI | 8 | 1 | 1.04 |
| 3 | STL | 8 | 0 | 0.27 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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