Montreal Canadiens at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 63.1%

MTL: 36.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.85

MTL: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NSH at home vs MTL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	17	0	1.03
1	MTL	13	0	0.55
2	NSH	15	1	1.65
2	MTL	14	0	0.84
3	NSH	11	0	0.67
3	MTL	10	0	0.38
4	NSH	0	0	0.00
4	MTL	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0