Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-03-05 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 60.5%
SEA: 39.5%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.23
SEA: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | WPG | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.884 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs SEA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | SEA 5 - 3 WPG | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-10-23 | WPG 0 - 3 SEA | SEA | WPG |
| 2025-03-16 | SEA 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | SEA |
| 2025-01-16 | WPG 2 - 1 SEA | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-10-24 | SEA 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:45 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:07 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 17:56 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:51 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:17 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:42 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:21 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9