Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 66.3%

SEA: 33.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.05

SEA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	23	1	0.88
1	SEA	11	0	0.39
2	WPG	16	0	0.75
2	SEA	14	1	0.85
3	WPG	11	0	0.83
3	SEA	8	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0