Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-03-05 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 64.3%
CHI: 35.7%
Expected Goals
ARI: 3.27
CHI: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | ARI | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs CHI: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | CHI 7 - 4 ARI | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-03-05 | ARI 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | ARI |
| 2023-10-30 | ARI 8 - 1 CHI | ARI | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:54 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:07 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:27 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:42 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:10 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:35 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:32 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.4