Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (78% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 77.7%

CHI: 22.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.77

CHI: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs CHI: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	20	0	0.95
1	CHI	18	0	1.08
2	ARI	17	0	0.89
2	CHI	20	0	1.15
3	ARI	11	0	0.54
3	CHI	11	2	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 77.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6