Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-03-06 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

COL: 61.7%

DET: 38.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.80

DET: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	23	0	1.33
1	DET	18	3	1.67
2	COL	29	1	2.08
2	DET	7	0	0.16
3	COL	15	1	1.32
3	DET	10	0	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.8 - 2.8