Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-03-06 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 49.9%

OTT: 50.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.02

OTT: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	7	0	0.19
1	OTT	17	0	1.15
2	ANA	11	0	0.62
2	OTT	8	0	0.39
3	ANA	10	2	1.41
3	OTT	26	2	2.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1