Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-03-07 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 60.8%
PHI: 39.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.84
PHI: 2.22
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | FLA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.868 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | FLA 2 - 4 PHI | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-13 | PHI 5 - 2 FLA | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-10-09 | FLA 2 - 1 PHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-13 | PHI 4 - 3 FLA | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-05 | PHI 5 - 7 FLA | FLA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:10 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:12 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.8 - 2.2