St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

NJD: 63.5%

STL: 36.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 4.23

STL: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NJD at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	1.20
1	STL	12	1	1.11
2	NJD	12	0	0.56
2	STL	18	4	1.53
3	NJD	12	1	0.82
3	STL	14	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.2 - 2.7